Why Raha Will Win Garsen South Ward Seat Before Midday

Earlier i wrote a post explaining why Garsen South Ward is a laughing stock, and it raised eyebrows to many concerned individuals. Some said i was building while others said i was destroying. But there was a comment that made me re-think twice. A concerned individual commented that if i have no tangible solution to this mess then there is no need to raising it. Well. I think i have the solution. And the solution is Rhoda Katisha Raha shall win the election with a landslide votes.



In 2013 elections, the pokomos who votes were 2,018, and the cushites were 1,727 votes, and the giriama votes were 614 votes.

That puts the pokomo at an advantage anytime any moment. But at the moment there is this disadvantage of Chris Komora. With him standing against Katisha seems to be dividing the pokomo votes. But after a long week of analysis, ground works statistics, and information collected from the IEBC, we can now FULLY confirm than Chris will never get votes more than 800, and here is the main reason:

First we did a random interview on NIT (Ngao, Itsowe, and Tarasaa) regions and according to our stats, only 16% of the interviewed were willing to vote for Chris Komora. The main reason they claim they won’t vote for Chris is because Raha has been endorsed by the elders, so it’s going to be hard for them to go against the elders since DBM was also endorsed by the gasa.

From the 16% we got from the respondents, we took the information and analyzed it with the latest information that we have from the IEBC. The info was as follows:
Itsowe has 914 votes
Minjila has 387 votes
Didaade has 374 votes
Kibusu has 145 votes
Dalu has 150 votes
Tarasaa has 1,160 votes
Ngao has 1,175 votes
Golbanti has 324 votes
Oda/Furaha 979 votes
Bura Kofira 394 votes
On-Wardei has 193 votes
Gubani has 245 votes

NIT only has a voting total of 3249 votes combined. And when we subtract the 16% of Chris votes we found him getting whooping votes of 520. That won’t surpass the plus 2,500 votes that Rhoda will automatically get. Adding votes from other village will make Rhoda Raha win the election before midday.

What about the cushites? We won’t talk about the cushites because they don’t have the numbers. Pokomo are the majority in Garsen South Ward and that is a plain fact, they have the voting numbers. It’s only in 2013 that most of them never participated.

So what is likely to make Chris lose the election terribly?
First his campaign motto is in question. Why does he say No Chris, No Peace? Is he at war? Who is he fighting with? Is he having a hidden agenda that is unseen by the people?

Second he is going against the elders wish. The elders have anonymously chosen Rhoda to vie for the MCA seat, and their decision is final. Luring youth for votes won’t help him.

Third, majority of the NIT are with Rhoda. A 16% majority is a total waste of energy. Chris should not be tricked into thinking he will woo the NIT, these guys are very well known with their stands. Once their elders pick a candidate, its final.

Forth, we are aware that some youth want to see the downfall of Chris. I have seen a lot of screenshots secretly circulating over the internet laughing how he will cry after the elections. We all know this guy works with the health ministry, right? and if he falls, he might have a hard time to recover.

Some people are tricking him into downfall

I'll laugh at him then we consolidate

Fifth is that Rhoda is more favourable because she has made a lot of people succeed in life through her teaching career. I don’t think nobody will not want to give her a big THANK YOU!

I lay my case here. I’m done with my part. Chris SHALL fall, we have more data. Now it’s up to you to vote wisely. Share if you care.

Statistics courtesy of IEBC