Elections are around the corner. Every politician is
currently strategizing their ways to clinching a political post in 2017. Some
are assured of returning back to their seats, others are still on the
negotiation tables and most do not know their fate on 9th August 2017.
This time round in Tana River County politics have taken
shape eariler than usual. Aspirants for certain posts have been known months
before the election, something which has not been practised in other previous
elections. We have used to be introduced to news aspirants months or weeks to
election dates. But this time round people have strategized earlier.
In our backyard though, we still have have a major problem
into selecting an individual who will be the one to carry the flag of the governorship.
We currently have undisputed candidates who believe they are best suited for
the post. For us we have Major Godhana, and Danson Mungatana. These two have
never been into good terms since the 2012 tribal clashes. Each one of them has
been been endorsed by the elders to vie for the gubernatorial seat, but only
one of them will be able to lead us to the promised land.
Mungatana is well known nationally because he was a MP for a
period of 10 years. He has served as assistant minister for a long time. He is
very verbal in parliamental proceedings, he is a close allie to the president,
he has catched the attention of Kenyans several times. He, to many is a leader.
But why is he commiting a political suicide mission?
Thats a good question everyone should ask themselves. We have seen
back in 2013 when he lost miserably to Hussein Dado, and it seems he has yet to
learn from the same mistake. First we should understand that in 2013, from the
pokomo side there were 3 aspirants and from the cushites there were 2
aspirants. Mungatana became top position from the pokomo side, but that does
not mean on 2017 election he would change anything.
It is now clear that Mungatana has no tangible strategy to
win the 2017 elections as a governor, the strategy he is using is the same as
that of 2013. What he is doing is to come up with a coalition with the
cushites, then do nothing to secure the majority of the united pokomo votes.
What he is expecting is to gunner votes from the few willing pokomos and the
majority from the cushites. This wont make him the governor anytime soon. We
have laid hands on classified information about Mungatana campaign strategy and
it is so pity. The guys is being misled by his strategy team. In 2013 Mungatana
used the same criteria, he ganged up with the cushites, and at the last minutes
all cushites went against him and this led to pokomo losing all the seats in
Tana River County. The senatorship post, the women rep, and all the MP seats were
lost to the cushites. This was partially contributed to Mungatana stand of
promising pokomo to join hands with the cushites for him to get the
governorship. The same trend is happening again. By now we all know the Jubilee
campaign team. It is comprised of mostly cushites. All TRC Mps and most MCAs
are on the same list. Now what we are soon expecting is to see Mungatana
together with Hon. Sane campaigning in Garsen South ward with both helping each
other to win the governor and Mp seat respectively.
Mungatana is doing nothing at all to seduce the pokomo united
to support his bid to secure his ambition. The Shika Adabu meeting was the
clear sign that Mungatana has nothing to do with the united pokomo. Those who
were at the event saw it and heard it. Mungatana together with his ‘strategist’
Alex (elder) failed several times to respond to the call of the gasa. They
never wanted to hear what they are being called for, they were never
interested, they never cared. An audio of the same has been circulating all over
the social media where Babisan, a gasa elder was explaining how many time they
called to talk to Mungatana and his allies but it was futile.
To my honest opinion i think Mungatana has lost it. He
doesn’t have the pokomo tribesmen at heart. With this incidence, it has
reminded me of the Salama people. He was a firm TARDA advocate, wanting to make
the Salama people, his own pokomo people squatters on their land. He did not
care wherether it will affect him on future or not. Also the same reminds me
about the 2012 Chara clashes, he remained quite, while his brother from Galole,
Major Godhana, spoke from his heart, pointing the root cause of the clashes. He
was areigned in court but the ‘TARDA advocate’ never showed up to help him.
What is wrong with Mungatana? Is he really with Us?
When he lost his 2013 campaigns, he moved from village to
village telling the people that he doesnot care if people like him or not. He
kept on saying that because he lost his bid to vie for governorship, that wont
make him go back to the village because he is a lawyer by proffession, and has
his own law firm.
What of his campaigners and strategist doing now?
I have seen several times his campaign team trying to
convince Godhana and his supporters to cancel the governorship bid so that
Mungatana can clinch the seat. One of his campaign team member famously known
as Hej J has been firm with this stand. This is what he has been circulating on
the internet:
“Mm nawakilisha mawazo yangu, nayawale wote wengi kutoka
mijini waliojionea kinyanganyiro cha 2013.Palikua wapokomo watatu
vigogo(2013).Mungatana alipata 14076(aliongoza kwa wawaniaji wa kipokomo)//Adam
akawa na 8352(ifahamike aliungwa mkono na wapigakura wa rtd mjr
Gadhae)//Badiribu akapata 6990.Mbona tumudhalimu yule alieekaribia kumungoa
Tunea????Yafaa tuwahimize Adam na sasa mjr Godhana(ambae yawataka kuwania kwa
mara ya kwanza),ile wamuunge mkono mwenzao Mungatana,halafu akishindwa kuleta
maendeleo,in 2022 basi Adam au Godhana tuwape usukani.”
Ok, let me make this clearly open b’coz these sentiments are
coming from Hej J, who is a brother of of DBM chief strategist KJ.
First. Badiribu got 6,990 votes. He is dead and cant vie.
Whom do you expect the votes to go to? DBM or Godhana? Ofcourse its Major
because as we are speaking, the Shika Adabu finalised the pokomo unity.
Second. If you add Adam and Badiribu votes you get
8,352+6,990=15,342. Compare that to Mungatana’s 14,076 votes.
Third. On parlimentary votes in Galole Godhana had
5,527. If we assume a pattern of an
estimate of Galole, Bura, and Garsen, we can get an estimate of 5,500X3=16,500.
Compare that with DBM 14,076 votes.
Fourth. Note that Mungatana got votes from both North and
South that made him gunner 14,076. If today there was a voting excercise then
it means Mungatana 14,076 will be eaten by the northerners and some
southerners, making him lose a tremendous number of votes.
Fifth. Mungatana convinced the pokomo to join hands with the
cushites in the 2013 election and the results were heart breaking. Now,
Mungatana is falling onto the same trap. The pokomo united have vowed not to
repeat the 2013 mistake. If its so, then the votes of Mungatana will be reduced
to peanut.
Ok. Back to my point. Mungatana is honestly commiting a
political suicide mission. The gasa have given him a clear shot for the senator
post, since he intentionally refused to come to Shika Adabu to settle the whole
issue. Well. maybe by now this post
would not have existed.
Now its up to him to take the shot or some one else from the
south will take it. And if it is done so, Mungatana legacy will be forgotten.
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